The Toronto Raptors, riding a 42-34 record, invade the FedExForum tonight to take on the struggling Memphis Grizzlies, who are limping in at 25-51. This regular-season matchup tips off at 2:04 am ET and will be broadcast on ESPN. The analytics actually favor the home side, but it's hard to see why when you consider Toronto's offense, which averages 114.4 points per game on 48% shooting, will be going up against the league's leakiest defense.
Scottie Barnes leads the Raptors with 21 points per game, but Brandon Ingram's 21.4 points per game on 47% shooting is part of a more balanced attack that dishes 29.4 assists per night. The Grizzlies counter with rookie Cam Coward, who's contributing 13.4 points, 5.9 rebounds, and shooting 46% from the field. With Immanuel Quickley out and Jaime Battle questionable for Toronto, the model gives Memphis a 67.8% chance of winning - make your pick and discuss on StreakChat.