New Orleans rolls into TD Garden with the league’s most charitable defense—119.6 points gift-wrapped per night—and a 26-54 record that smells like last week’s beignets. Boston’s missing Jaylen Brown’s 28.8 ppg, but the Celtics still own a top-three point-differential engine (114.6 scored, 106.9 allowed) and a 77.7% win probability that screams “schedule loss” for the visitors.

DD’s 21.5 ppg can’t outscore a hurricane of injuries—Murphy, Missi, McGowens and Murray are all GTD with various dings—while Joe Mazzulla gets to sic his fifth-ranked defense on a Pelicans squad that just coughed up 134 to Houston. Celtics by double-digits feels like free money; come argue the cover or hammer the under on StreakChat.